Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains

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  • Source:
    Australian Senior Mathematics Journal, v23 n2 p8-14 2009. 7 pp.
  • Accession Number:
    http://www.aamt.edu.au/Webshop/Entire-catalogue/Australian-Senior-Mathematics-Journal
  • Language:
    English
  • Publication Type:
    Guides - Classroom - Teacher; Journal Articles; Reports - Descriptive
  • Additional Information
    • Author(s):
    • Availability:
      Full Text from ERIC Available online: https://eric.ed.gov/contentdelivery/servlet/ERICServlet?accno=EJ867337
      Australian Association of Mathematics Teachers (AAMT). GPO Box 1729, Adelaide 5001, South Australia. Tel: +61-8-8363-0288; Fax: +61-8-8362-9288; e-mail: office@aamt.edu.au; Web site: http://www.aamt.edu.au
    • Peer Reviewed:
      Y
    • ISSN:
      0819-4564
    • Subject Terms:
    • Subject Terms:
    • Keyword:
      Australia
    • Abstract:
      As teachers of first-year college mathematics and science students, the authors are constantly on the lookout for simple classroom exercises that improve their students' analytical and computational skills. In this article, the authors outline a project entitled "Predicting Precipitation in Darwin." In this project, students: (1) analyze and manipulate raw precipitation data; (2) build a prediction model using a Markov chain; (3) predict the long term distribution of precipitation-free and rainy days in Darwin, Northern Territory, Australia; (4) use a chi-square test to evaluate the effectiveness of the model they have constructed; and (5) improve their prediction model. Beyond access to the Internet (to obtain the raw data) and a computer spreadsheet program or calculator, no special equipment is required. If the data is downloaded in advance, a well-prepared junior or senior high-school mathematics (or science) class should be able to perform this exercise in approximately 30-45 minutes of class time. (Contains 1 figure and 8 tables.)
    • Abstract:
      ERIC
    • Physical Description:
      7
    • Intended Audience:
      Teachers
    • Education Level:
      Higher Education
    • Journal Code:
      APR2018
    • Publication Date:
      2010
    • Accession Number:
      EJ867337
  • Citations
    • ABNT:
      BONCEK, J.; HARDEN, S. Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains. Australian Senior Mathematics Journal, [s. l.], v. 23, n. 2, p. 8–14, 2009. Disponível em: . Acesso em: 21 ago. 2019.
    • AMA:
      Boncek J, Harden S. Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains. Australian Senior Mathematics Journal. 2009;23(2):8-14. http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=EJ867337&custid=s8280428. Accessed August 21, 2019.
    • APA:
      Boncek, J., & Harden, S. (2009). Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains. Australian Senior Mathematics Journal, 23(2), 8–14. Retrieved from http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=EJ867337&custid=s8280428
    • Chicago/Turabian: Author-Date:
      Boncek, John, and Sig Harden. 2009. “Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains.” Australian Senior Mathematics Journal 23 (2): 8–14. http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=EJ867337&custid=s8280428.
    • Harvard:
      Boncek, J. and Harden, S. (2009) ‘Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains’, Australian Senior Mathematics Journal, 23(2), pp. 8–14. Available at: http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=EJ867337&custid=s8280428 (Accessed: 21 August 2019).
    • Harvard: Australian:
      Boncek, J & Harden, S 2009, ‘Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains’, Australian Senior Mathematics Journal, vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 8–14, viewed 21 August 2019, .
    • MLA:
      Boncek, John, and Sig Harden. “Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains.” Australian Senior Mathematics Journal, vol. 23, no. 2, Jan. 2009, pp. 8–14. EBSCOhost, search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=EJ867337&custid=s8280428.
    • Chicago/Turabian: Humanities:
      Boncek, John, and Sig Harden. “Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains.” Australian Senior Mathematics Journal 23, no. 2 (January 1, 2009): 8–14. http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=EJ867337&custid=s8280428.
    • Vancouver/ICMJE:
      Boncek J, Harden S. Predicting Precipitation in Darwin: An Experiment with Markov Chains. Australian Senior Mathematics Journal [Internet]. 2009 Jan 1 [cited 2019 Aug 21];23(2):8–14. Available from: http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=EJ867337&custid=s8280428